FiveThirtyEight vs. PredictIt

Uses FiveThirtyEight election forecasts to find profit opportunities on the prediction market PredictIt

Last updated 08 November 2022 13:42 UTC. Updated hourly.

KS-GOV (buy)

Which party will win KS governor's race?

Recommendation: Buy No on the Republican
Profit: 0.19

NV-GOV (buy)

Which party will win NV governor's race?

Recommendation: Buy No on the Republican
Profit: 0.18

AZ-SEN (buy)

Which party will win the AZ Senate race?

Recommendation: Buy No on the Republican
Profit: 0.16

NV-SEN (buy)

Which party will win the NV Senate race?

Recommendation: Buy No on the Republican
Profit: 0.16

WI-GOV (buy)

Which party will win WI governor's race?

Recommendation: Buy Yes on the Democrat
Profit: 0.16

Note:

NY-GOV (buy)

Which party will win NY governor's race?

Recommendation: Buy No on the Republican
Profit: 0.16

MI-GOV (buy)

Which party will win MI governor's race?

Recommendation: Buy No on the Republican
Profit: 0.14

AZ-GOV (buy)

Which party will win AZ governor's race?

Recommendation: Buy Yes on the Democrat
Profit: 0.13

NH-SEN (buy)

Which party will win the NH Senate race?

Recommendation: Buy No on the Republican
Profit: 0.12

NC-SEN (buy)

Which party will win the NC Senate race?

Recommendation: Buy Yes on the Democrat
Profit: 0.08

WI-SEN (buy)

Which party will win the WI Senate race?

Recommendation: Buy No on the Republican
Profit: 0.08

WA-SEN (buy)

Which party will win the WA Senate race?

Recommendation: Buy No on the Republican
Profit: 0.08

KS-GOV (sell)

Which party will win KS governor's race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.19

NV-GOV (sell)

Which party will win NV governor's race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.18

AZ-SEN (sell)

Which party will win the AZ Senate race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.16

NV-SEN (sell)

Which party will win the NV Senate race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.16

WI-GOV (sell)

Which party will win WI governor's race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.16

NY-GOV (sell)

Which party will win NY governor's race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.16

MI-GOV (sell)

Which party will win MI governor's race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.14

AZ-GOV (sell)

Which party will win AZ governor's race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.13

NH-SEN (sell)

Which party will win the NH Senate race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.12

NC-SEN (sell)

Which party will win the NC Senate race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.08

WI-SEN (sell)

Which party will win the WI Senate race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.08

WA-SEN (sell)

Which party will win the WA Senate race?

Recommendation: Sell Yes on the Republican
Profit: 0.08

Summary

Sell Yes on the Republican (12)

KS-GOV, NV-GOV, AZ-SEN, NV-SEN, WI-GOV, NY-GOV, MI-GOV, AZ-GOV, NH-SEN, NC-SEN, WI-SEN, WA-SEN

Buy No on the Republican (9)

KS-GOV, NV-GOV, AZ-SEN, NV-SEN, NY-GOV, MI-GOV, NH-SEN, WI-SEN, WA-SEN

Buy Yes on the Democrat (3)

WI-GOV, AZ-GOV, NC-SEN